The 10-Day Disaster Cycle: What Sedgwick’s 2026 Numbers Mean for Your Backlog

Hail-dented asphalt shingles on a house roof after a convective storm
The losses Sedgwick is counting are mostly storms without names: hail, wind, inland flooding, wildfire.

Restoration Intel. Operator brief.

Sedgwick’s 2026 Loss Adjusting Insights Report is out, and the headline number should change how you plan the year: in 2025, the average gap between billion-dollar U.S. weather disasters fell to 10 days. In the 1980s, it was 82.

Twenty-three billion-dollar events last year. Severe convective storms topped $50 billion in insured losses for the third straight year. And the damage isn’t coming from the storms with names anymore. It’s hail, straight-line wind, inland flooding, wildfire. Distributed and persistent, in Sedgwick EVP David Armstrong’s words: risk “that doesn’t announce itself the way a major hurricane does.”

Here’s the part that matters for your operation: carriers can’t reset between events anymore. Neither can you. Long cycle times aren’t a bad quarter. They’re structural now.

The capacity crunch behind it:

  • Labor: the U.S. construction industry needs 349,000 additional workers in 2026 just to meet demand. Your techs are being recruited right now.
  • Equipment: lead times for specialized equipment have more than doubled in the past five years. Sedgwick’s warning is blunt. A single delayed replacement can stall an entire commercial recovery while financing costs, professional fees, and soft costs keep accumulating.

What to do about it:

  1. Plan like the backlog is permanent. Stop budgeting and staffing for the breather between events. The breather isn’t coming.
  2. Treat retention as procurement. In a 349,000-worker hole, the crew you keep is the capacity you have. Every tech who walks is six months of recruiting.
  3. Order equipment before you need it. The just-in-time habits that worked five years ago will strand a job today.
  4. Use the data in carrier conversations. When an adjuster squeezes you on cycle time, the 10-day number is your evidence that delays are systemic, not sloppy. Document everything. The paper trail is the leverage.
  5. Set customer expectations on day one. Tell property owners what the pipeline looks like before they’re angry about it. An informed customer is a patient one.

The contractors who treat this as weather will keep getting surprised. The ones who treat it as the permanent operating environment will own the next five years.

Source: Sedgwick 2026 Loss Adjusting Insights Report, via PR Newswire. Scott Richardson (Sedgwick): “Extreme weather is intensifying just as industries and infrastructure are growing larger and it is increasing the complexity for what it takes to successfully see a claim through from start to finish.”

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